| Naziv projekta |
Ansambl prognostički sustav temeljen na modelima na ograničenom području u Europi
|
| GLAMEPS - Grand Limited Area Model Emsemble Prediction System |
| Kratki opis projekta |
Cilj je da zemlje članice ALADIN i HIRLAM konzorcija ujedine svoje znanje i iskustva na području kratkoročne ansambl prognoze vremena na ograničenoj domeni u svrhu razvoja operativno provedivog zajedničkog sustava ansambl prognoze vremena na kratkoročnoj skali (do 60 sati unaprijed) s prostornom rezolucijom 10-20 km posebno pogodnom za probabilističku prognoza opasnih vremenksih prilika. Pojedine zemlje učesnice će svaka proizvesti određeni broj članova ansambla. Produkti svake zemlje učesnice operativno će se razmjenjivati i koristiti u zajedničkom sustavu probabilističke prognoze.
|
| Abstract |
Several HIRLAM and ALADIN institutes have earlier developed or are in the process of developing a variety of techniques for short-range ensemble forecasting in limited domains. The HIRLAM and ALADIN consortia aim to integrate the knowledge, experience, and results from these activities, and incorporate them in an operationally feasible distributed ensemble forecasting system. The major challenge for this system is to provide reliable probabilistic forecast information, on the short range (up to 60h), at spatial resolution of 10 20 km and particularly suited for the probabilistic forecasting of severe, high impact, weather.
The aim of this project is to establish an operational grand limited area ensemble system (GLAMEPS). This will in production mode constitute a distributed, multi-model EPS production system. Individual countries from HIRLAM and ALADIN will each produce a subset of ensemble members in a variety of manners. Results from each member will be exchanged in real-time between GLAMEPS participants and added together in a common statistic for probabilistic forecasting.
|
| Cilj projekta |
Razvoj i primjena operativnog sustava probabilističke prognoze vremena na području Europe.
|
| Ključne riječi |
numerički model, probabilistička prognoza vremena
|
| numerical model, ensemble prediction system
|
| Odgovorna osoba u Hrvatskoj |
Stjepan Ivatek-Šahdan, ivateks(at)cirus.dhz.hr, tel. 4565 790
|
| Trajanje |
2007-2010 |
| Suradne institucije/projekti |
članice ALADIN-a i HIRLAM-a
|
